WASHINGTON (AP) — With
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the specter of nuclear weapon use, Earth crept its closest to Armageddon, a science-oriented advocacy group said, moving its famous “Doomsday Clock” up to just 90 seconds before midnight.
“We are really closer to that doomsday,” former Mongolian president Elbegdorj Tsakhia said Tuesday at the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists annual announcement rating how close humanity is from doing itself in. He and former Ireland President Mary Robinson joined scientists to underscore what they consider a gathering of several existential threats, with Russian leader Vladimir Putin's actions and words chief among them.
“People and scientists are warning us and we have to wake up now,” he said.
Siegfried Hecker, from left, Daniel Holz, Sharon Squassoni, Mary Robinson and Elbegdorj Tsakhia with the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, remove a cloth covering the Doomsday Clock before a virtual news conference at the National Press Club in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2023. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists announced that it has moved the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock to 90 seconds to midnight.
The advocacy group started in 1947 to use a clock to symbolize the potential and likelihood of people doing something to end humanity. It moved the clock 10 seconds closer than last year, making it the closest it has ever been to striking 12. It's been as much as 17 minutes from midnight after the end of the Cold War but in the past few years, the group has changed from counting down the minutes to midnight to counting down the seconds.
Doomsday has not happened yet.
“We are sending a message that the situation is becoming more urgent,” Bulletin President Rachel Bronson said at the online announcement. “Crises are more likely to happen and have broader consequences and longer standing effects.”
The Doomsday Clock stands in a broadcast studio before a virtual news conference at the National Press Club in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2023. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists announced that it has moved the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock to 90 seconds to midnight.
And to emphasize the effect that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine had on moving closer to theoretical doomsday, the group said it was also announcing the clock movement in the Russian and Ukrainian languages for the first time.
“Putin has repeatedly raised the specter of nuclear use,” said Steve Fetter, dean of the graduate school and a public policy professor at the University of Maryland.
“Putin has given no indication that he's willing to accept defeat,” Fetter said. “He might make desperate moves if no other options are available that he regards as acceptable.”
Scientists and activists at the Bulletin announcement also mentioned nuclear weapon proliferation in China, Iran increasing its uranium enrichment, missile tests in North Korea, future pandemics from animal diseases, pathogens from lab mistakes, “disruptive technologies” and worsening climate change as other existential threats to humanity.
24 causes of death—and how likely they are to happen
24 causes of death—and how likely they are to happen
There is an old anecdote that says there are only two certainties in life: death and taxes. No one lives forever, and it's a morbid reality not everyone will reach a ripe old age and die peacefully in their bed surrounded by loved ones. Despite modern advances in safety and medicine, death is still constantly around us like the apocryphal Grim Reaper,
with approximately 8,610 people dying in the United States every day. Unfortunately, many of them will meet untimely ends. Stacker compiled data from the National Safety Council to assess the risk associated with various causes of death in the U.S. The odds presented are founded on mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics based on statistical averages and do not necessarily reflect any specific individual's chances of dying from the specific cause. These lifetime odds are approximated by dividing the one-year odds by the life expectancy of a person born in 2020.
These odds are also not predictive probabilities for the entire population as any individual's odds of dying from various external causes are affected by the type of lives they lead—where they live, how frequently they drive and to where, the activities in which they participate, and what kind of work they do, among other factors. Someone who works with heavy equipment, for example, will have a higher chance of dying in a work-related accident than someone who works in an office; similarly, a drug user will have a higher chance of suffering a fatal overdose than someone who does not use drugs.
This list will deal with topics that will not be appropriate for all readers, so reader discretion is advised.
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#24. Dog attack
- Odds of dying: 1 in 69,016
Dogs are often regarded as "man's best friend," but not all canine encounters are friendly. Some are outright fatal.
In 2020, there were 46 dog bite-related deaths.
Before you eye your beloved pooch as a furry harbinger of doom, however, be aware that most deaths due to dog bites involved
dogs that were not family pets, and most victims were unfamiliar with the dog.
Dog attacks can usually be avoided by exercising caution and good animal handling when approaching or dealing with an unknown animal.
#23. Hornet, wasp, and bee stings
- Odds of dying: 1 in 57,825
Almost everyone has experienced some kind of insect sting or bite at some point in their lives. What is an annoyance for a vast majority of people ends up being lethal to an unfortunate few. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recorded a
total of 1,109 deaths due to stings from bees, wasps, and hornets for the period 2000-2017.
Unfortunately, this number is likely underreported due to the
misdiagnosis of fatal allergic reactions as heart attacks or sunstroke.
Caution should be exercised to avoid bee and wasp nests when outside for work or leisure, and those aware that they are allergic should carry antidotes or epinephrine in case of unavoidable stings.
#22. Hot surfaces and substances
- Odds of dying: 1 in 50,341
In the United States,
thermal burns account for almost 75,000 hospitalizations each year, with approximately 14,000 of them being fatal. These injuries come from a wide variety of sources such as contact with hot metals to scalds from liquids and oils used in both residential and commercial kitchens.
Proper caution, including wearing protective gear, should always be used when working with exposed hot surfaces and substances.
#21. Cataclysmic storm
- Odds of dying: 1 in 35,074
Modern humans have mastered many aspects of the natural world, but the weather is not one of them.
In 2021, storms killed 538 Americans, making it
the deadliest year for weather-related deaths since 2011.
People living in areas prone to extreme weather should heed precautions such as having emergency stores of food and water and listening to evacuation warnings.
#20. Sharp objects
- Odds of dying: 1 in 26,744
The vast majority of deaths by sharp objects are intentional homicides. According to the United Nations' 2019
Global Study on Homicide, fatal stabbings with knives accounted for 22% of homicides worldwide in 2017, the most recent year for comprehensive data.
That being said, sharp objects are dangerous under the best circumstances and accounted for the
injury-related deaths of more than 3,100 Americans in 2020.
Proper protective gear and practices should be used when near sharp objects, and usual precautions against violent crime such as situational awareness should be practiced at all times.
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#19. Electrocution, radiation, extreme temperatures, and pressure
- Odds of dying: 1 in 14,705
Hazardous energies such as electricity, radiation, and extreme temperatures and pressures are hazards often faced by machine workers.
In 2021, 475 American workers died due to
incidents with machinery, many of which were preventable accidents. Such incidents can be avoided by following proper protocols, wearing appropriate safety gear, and undergoing safety training.
#18. Accidental gun discharge
- Odds of dying: 1 in 7,998
While the vast
majority of deaths related to guns are homicides, a smaller yet significant number of gun-related deaths are due to accidents. They are also preventable by practicing basic safety when owning or handling firearms and by keeping them out of the reach of children.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 6,368
With 2022 setting record temperatures in many places, there was also an increase in incidents of
heat-related illnesses and deaths. Sunstroke or heatstroke—bother terms referring to the same condition— occurs when the internal body temperature rises over 104 degrees Fahrenheit.
People who exert themselves at work or in athletics in high temperatures are particularly prone to heatstroke, as well as children and the elderly.
Limiting physical activity in hot weather, drinking adequate quantities of water, and taking breaks from the sun are effective ways to avoid heatstroke.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 3,396
Whether on the road or trail, bicycles are still vehicles. In 2020, there were
1,260 preventable bicycle-related deaths. Fatal bicycle-related incidents increased in the warmer months, and most cyclist fatalities were due to motor vehicle crashes.
When riding a bicycle, proper safety gear should be used, including a helmet and retroreflective or bright clothing. It is also crucial to remember that the basic rules of the road still apply.
#15. Choking on food
- Odds of dying: 1 in 2,745
We all have to eat. Unfortunately, one of the very acts required to live can sometimes be fatal. Statistics from 2020 showed choking as the
fourth-leading cause of unintentional death, with a reported 4,963 deaths. Death by choking on food is particularly dangerous to the elderly.
Food should always be cut into manageable bites and thoroughly chewed before swallowing, and people with compromised swallowing abilities should be monitored while eating.
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#14. Fire or smoke
- Odds of dying: 1 in 1,450
Fire can be both a help and a horror to humans. 2021 was a
particularly bad year for fire-related deaths, with fires claiming the lives of 3,800 civilians and 70 on-duty firefighters. The majority of these incidents were the result of home fires.
Having fire alarms and extinguishers in all buildings and knowing points of evacuation
increase survival odds against fire.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 1,024
Worldwide, drowning is ranked as the
third-leading cause of unintentional death. In the U.S., an average of 4,012 drowning deaths occurred annually between 2011-2020, with children being particularly at risk.
Precautions against drowning include wearing floatation devices when participating in boating or other water-based activities, learning to swim, and remaining vigilant when around water.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 799
The roar of the engine, the wind in your hair—the chance of a fatal accident. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration logged
5,579 fatal accidents involving motorcycles in 2020.
While some would argue not owning a motorcycle is the best prevention, exercising basic driving safety and wearing safety gear such as helmets and riding suits go a long way in
reducing motorcycle fatalities.
#11. Pedestrian incident
- Odds of dying: 1 in 541
There is a disturbing trend in the U.S. regarding pedestrian fatalities. In 2021, 7,485 pedestrians were killed, making it the
deadliest single year for pedestrians in four decades. Responsibility falls on both drivers and pedestrians to exercise due caution and regard on the roads.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 102
People try to keep their balance as best as they can, but trips and stumbles are a part of life, and everyone has fallen at some point.
Falls range from being innocuous to fatal, with the elderly population being
particularly at risk with fatal fall rates for seniors over 65 climbing approximately 30% from 2009 to 2018.
Falls in the home can be
prevented by clearing tripping hazards from floors and stairs and installing equipment like rails in appropriate places.
#8. Motor vehicle crash
- Odds of dying: 1 in 101
Vehicular safety has come a long way in the past century, but it is still far from perfect. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration estimates that 42,915 deaths due to vehicle crashes occurred in 2021. This number is up a
grim 10.5% from 38,824 in 2020.
basic driving safety, wearing seat belts, and buying vehicles with modern safety features will increase the odds of surviving traffic accidents.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 93
Despite advances in mental health care, suicide remains a leading cause of death in the U.S.
Provisional CDC data shows a projected 47,646 deaths by suicide in 2021.
While the good news is that this number is
slightly down from the record high of suicide deaths in 2018, the number remains significant and represents an increase after back-to-back years of decline.
Obtaining mental health care and not abusing substances such as drugs and alcohol are important factors in
#6. Opioid overdose
- Odds of dying: 1 in 67
American deaths from opioid overdoses have been
rising for the better part of a decade, with 2021 having 80,816 opioid-related deaths, up more than 10,000 from 2020.
Opioid deaths cut across
all levels of American society, all ages, and economic statuses with deaths particularly on the rise in rural areas.
Education about opioid risks and improved access to health care and substance abuse prevention are effective ways of preventing opioid deaths, but the epidemic remains a lethal scourge.
#5. Chronic lower respiratory disease
- Odds of dying: 1 in 28
Chronic lower respiratory disease is a category of illness
comprised of chronic bronchitis, asthma, and emphysema. Together, they are the fourth-leading cause of death in the U.S.
The causes for these diseases are varied among exposure to environmental contaminants, smoking, infections, and genetic predispositions.
Treatment depends on the individual condition and its respective causes, but smoking cessation, avoiding pollutants such as asbestos, and medical intervention can increase survival odds.
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#4. All preventable causes of death
- Odds of dying: 1 in 21
Any cause of death that is neither natural nor intentional can be classified as an injury-related preventable death. This includes several manners of death that have already been mentioned, such as motor vehicle accidents and falls, but also includes any other cause of death that occurs unintentionally.
Within this category,
poisoning has been the leading cause since 2013. Since these causes of death are so varied, so are the prevention methods.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 12
COVID-19 has been merciless since it arrived in the U.S. In just a few years, it has been responsible for more than 1 million American deaths and
nearly 100 million cases.
Potential infection can be averted by getting appropriate vaccines, practicing strict cleanliness behaviors to avoid other forms of infection, and
keeping current with CDC recommendations.
- Odds of dying: 1 in 7
Despite detection and treatment advancements, cancer is still one of the leading causes of death worldwide. While still shockingly high, cancer deaths have actually been
decreasing over the last 20 years.
In 2020, 602,350 Americans died from cancers of all categories, with lung cancer alone being responsible for a little more than 1 in 5 of those deaths.
Cancers vary widely over genetics, sex, and environmental factors, but avoiding known carcinogens such as smoking tobacco and early detection for conditions like breast and colon cancers are significant to
#1. Heart disease
- Odds of dying: 1 in 6
Across racial lines of race, ethnicity, sex, and social status, heart disease is the world's leading killer. The U.S. is no exception; approximately
697,000 people died from heart disease in 2020.
Since heart disease refers to various
cardiovascular disorders, the causes are numerous, and potential risks will often depend on factors including heredity, environment, and diet.
Luckily, there are many behaviors individuals can
manage such as modifying diet and exercise to maintain a healthy weight, avoiding or quitting smoking and drinking alcohol, and following up with doctors for routine screenings, especially with age.
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