
People brace themselves as wind and snow blow Monday in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
Q: What causes cold air outbreaks?
A: A vigorous cold air outbreak is usually a midwinter, not late fall, phenomenon.
As with most unusual events in the atmosphere, a cold air outbreak is a commingling of circumstances — some common and some not — brought to extreme by perfect timing.
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Because the sun has long since set for the winter at the North Pole, the endless night is a breeding ground for very cold air masses. As we head into mid-November, the darkness has crept southward into northern Canada, bringing with it an even more proximate source of very cold air. That circumstance is the same every year.
The high altitude flow of air around the hemisphere is most often predominantly west to east. Occasionally, large north-south meanders develop in this flow, bringing warm tropical air toward the pole in the northward directed flow and cold, polar air toward the equator in the southward directed flow.
If a strong ridge of high pressure develops at high altitude over the west coast of the United States and Canada, the eastern side of such a ridge is characterized by southward flow that can usher a mass of cold air from high latitude central Canada into the central United States.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

A woman walking the half mile from the Chicago Aquarium to the Adler Planetarium braces in a stiff wind and blowing snow off Lake Michigan, Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Commuters wait to board a Metra train in Naperville, Ill., Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

People walking the half mile from the Chicago Aquarium to the Adler Planetarium brace themselves as wind and snow blow Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Traffic creeps through downtown Niles, Mich., Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, after a fall storm dumped several inches of snow in southwest Michigan.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

A woman walking the half mile from Chicago's Adler Planetarium to the Chicago Aquarium braces herself in the stiff wind and blowing snow off Lake Michigan, Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Snow accumulates on trees in Niles, Mich., Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, after a fall snowstorm dumped several inches of snow on southwest Michigan.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

A student sprints through the snow on the campus of Andrews University in Berrien Springs, Mich., Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, after a fall snowstorm dumped several inches of snow on southwest Michigan.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

A lone hiker navigates the 31st street beach bike trail in a stiff wind and blowing snow off Lake Michigan, Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

A woman walking the half mile from the Chicago Aquarium to the Adler Planetarium fights a stiff wind inverting her umbrella in the blowing snow off Lake Michigan, Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Snow falls on the United Terminal at O'Hare Airport in Chicago Monday morning, Nov. 11, 2019.
Tormenta causa nieve, intenso frÃo en centro-norte de EEUU

Snowfall hitting the Midwest is taking its toll on air travel in Chicago as one plane trying to land at O'Hare International Airport slid off the runway. Chicago's aviation department says more than 440 flights have been canceled at the airport.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Students head to class Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, at Andrews University in Berrien Springs, Mich., after a fall storm dumped several inches of snow on southwest Michigan.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Commuters walk in the snow as a winter weather advisory is issued for the Chicago area on Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

A woman clears off a Divvy bike as a winter weather advisory is issued for the Chicago area on Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
Winter already? Snow, deep freeze from Rockies to East Coast

Snow covers graves where veterans are buried at The Great Lakes Cemetery on Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Holly, Mich.
Wintry Weather

Commuters walk in the snow as a winter weather advisory is issued for the Chicago area on Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago. (Rich Hein/Chicago Sun-Times via AP)
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A pedestrian walks in the snow as a winter weather advisory is issued for the Chicago area on Monday, Nov. 11, 2019, in Chicago.
"Weather Guys" Steve Ackerman and Jonathan Martin are professors in the University of Wisconsin-Madison department of atmospheric and oceanic sciences.